Analytics
Yes is at 8.6%, down 1.9 points from 10.5% when the market opened on 21 Nov 2025.
Across the 327 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 23 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7.7%; a month before, 5%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 13% on 2 May 2026.
It is one of 71 markets under “Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?”.
$261.89 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $17.37K since listing. The order book holds $10.78K, with a 3.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 364 trades, $339.78 bought Yes and $4.67K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Royal Voyager 2F99 with 747 shares; the largest No position is mombil with 771. Ten wallets hold 88.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 327 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 10.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mombil | No | 770.78 |
| Royal Voyager 2F99 | Yes | 746.92 |
| Retired-Davis | No | 500 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027
59 more markets, none above 6.8%.
| 4rchibald4rchy4rmstrong |
| Yes |
| 313.25 |
| HotDogs | No | 222 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 206.97 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 194.69 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 96.04 |
| lizlocks | Yes | 58 |
| Haradwaith | No | 45.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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