Analytics
Yes is at 5.6%, down 28 points from 34% when the market opened on 21 Nov 2025.
The high was 34% on 21 Nov 2025 and the low 0.8% on 7 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 9.2%; a month ago, 1.1%. Its largest one-day move was 7.1 points down, to 2.4% on 3 Sep 2026.
It is one of 71 markets under “Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?”.
$43.88 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $20.33K since listing. The order book holds $10.84K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $790.26 bought Yes and $5.2K bought No; the largest was a $1.07K buy of No at 87.6¢.
The largest Yes position is MaxEnt with 1K shares; the largest No position is Crimson Scout DF5C with 1.9K. Ten wallets hold 83.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 84 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 11:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 319 points · 21 Nov 2025 – 8 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 34.0% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 5.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Scout DF5C | No | 1.94K |
| Retired-Davis | No | 1.51K |
| MaxEnt | Yes | 1.03K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027
58 more markets, none above 6.5%.
| SitsToPee |
| Yes |
| 930.56 |
| Xyzeric | Yes | 869.01 |
| Fuzzy-Logic | Yes | 600 |
| maritime6307 | Yes | 561 |
| lug | No | 510.63 |
| simpleman | No | 500 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 387.4 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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