Analytics
Yes is at 6.5%, down 40 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 21 Nov 2025.
Across the 320 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.5% on 21 Nov 2025 and the lowest 4.5% on 19 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6%; a month before, 4.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 24% on 23 Nov 2025.
It is one of 71 markets under “Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?”.
$20.38K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $12.84K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 243 trades, $137.6 bought Yes and $6.18K bought No; the largest was a $5.11K buy of No at 83.8¢.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 770 shares; the largest No position is AngryRhino with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 97.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 320 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 46.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AngryRhino | No | 1.31K |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 770.16 |
| KellyPhillips9072 | Yes | 160 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027
58 more markets, none above 6.9%.
| thecaricature |
| Yes |
| 140 |
| anciano | Yes | 120 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 95.21 |
| 5atka | Yes | 67.5 |
| sunshines | Yes | 40 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 27.27 |
| HotDogs | No | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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