Analytics
Yes is at 2.1%, down 4.4 points from 6.5% when the market opened on 21 Nov 2025.
The high was 43.5% on 31 Dec 2025 and the low 2.1% on 6 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 2.5%; a month ago, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 43.5% on 31 Dec 2025.
It is one of 71 markets under “Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?”.
$3.28K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.79K, with a 2.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 234 trades, $37.64 bought Yes and $1.23K bought No.
The largest Yes position is thecaricature with 198 shares; the largest No position is Cobalt Raven 0F87 with 190. Ten wallets hold 77% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 83 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 10, 7:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 291 points · 21 Nov 2025 – 10 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 6.5% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thecaricature | Yes | 197.5 |
| Cobalt Raven 0F87 | No | 190 |
| qwertyyyy | No | 100 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027
58 more markets, none above 7.3%.
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd |
| No |
| 76.03 |
| AJSV | Yes | 70 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 54.92 |
| Gohst | No | 52.15 |
| BSS37 | Yes | 51.38 |
| Biver52 | Yes | 41.5 |
| Talophex | No | 40 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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