Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 173.17 | $0.920 | $166.33 | +$7.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 173.17 | $0.920 | $159.32 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 179.59 |
| $0.898 |
| $166.12 |
| +$4.75 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OR-03 House seat? | No | 169.13 | $0.940 | $162.45 | +$3.47 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat? | No | 165.69 | $0.942 | $158.98 | +$2.9 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat? | Yes | 169.06 | $0.940 | $158.92 | $0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat? | No | 167.35 | $0.950 | $158.14 | -$0.84 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the KS-01 House seat? | No | 167.29 | $0.950 | $158.09 | -$0.84 |
 Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat? | Yes | 169.04 | $0.940 | $158.05 | -$0.85 |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? | No | 165.93 | $0.870 | $155.15 | +$10.79 |
 Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election? | No | 141.88 | $0.941 | $136.49 | +$3.04 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | Yes | 197.87 | $0.620 | $133.56 | +$10.93 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 134.11 | $0.790 | $122.71 | +$16.76 |
 Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | No | 124.96 | $0.850 | $113.09 | +$6.87 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-08 House seat? | No | 116.04 | $0.944 | $112.8 | +$3.22 |
 Jonathan Majors as Kang? | No | 119.63 | $0.874 | $110.78 | +$6.22 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? | Yes | 107.42 | $0.860 | $91.84 | -$0.54 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat? | Yes | 86.11 | $0.930 | $81.8 | +$1.72 |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat? | Yes | 85.92 | $0.920 | $81.2 | +$2.15 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-19 House seat? | No | 84.1 | $0.940 | $80.31 | +$1.26 |
 Will the Republican Party win the KY-01 House seat? | Yes | 83.26 | $0.940 | $79.09 | +$0.83 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-05 House seat? | No | 66.81 | $0.950 | $63.8 | +$0.33 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-11 House seat? | No | 67.45 | $0.940 | $63.74 | +$0.34 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | 52.61 | $0.976 | $52.19 | +$0.84 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 52.78 | $0.973 | $51.76 | +$0.4 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 52.16 | $0.975 | $50.52 | -$0.34 |
| sell |
| 80 |
| $0.974 |
| $77.92 |
| 6d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat?No | buy | 167.35 | $0.950 | $158.98 | 6d ago |
 Will United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | 7d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?Yes | buy | 169.04 | $0.940 | $158.9 | 9d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?Yes | buy | 169.06 | $0.940 | $158.92 | 9d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KS-01 House seat?No | buy | 167.29 | $0.950 | $158.93 | 9d ago |
| Will New People (NL) win between 75 and 84 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 80 | $0.900 | $72 | 9d ago |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 52.16 | $0.975 | $50.86 | 10d ago |
 Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.979 | $4.91 | 10d ago |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 50.24 | $0.979 | $49.18 | 10d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 52.16 | $0.975 | $50.86 | 10d ago |
| Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?No | buy | 40 | $0.945 | $37.8 | 11d ago |
| Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?No | buy | 60 | $0.945 | $56.7 | 11d ago |
| Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?No | buy | 19.88 | $0.932 | $18.53 | 11d ago |
| Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?No | buy | 22 | $0.928 | $20.42 | 11d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 52.61 | $0.976 | $51.35 | 16d ago |
 Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?No | buy | 40 | $0.973 | $38.92 | 16d ago |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?No | buy | 33.43 | $0.973 | $32.53 | 16d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 52.77 | $0.973 | $51.35 | 16d ago |
 Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes?No | buy | 52.45 | $0.979 | $51.35 | 16d ago |
 Will Susan Lahey win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 44.19 | $0.980 | $43.31 | 16d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 52.24 | $0.983 | $51.35 | 16d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 52.3 | $0.982 | $51.36 | 16d ago |
 Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 40 and 43 inclusive?No | buy | 52.3 | $0.982 | $51.36 | 16d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 52.79 | $0.973 | $51.36 | 16d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 52.89 | $0.971 | $51.36 | 16d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat?No | sell | 166.04 | $0.966 | $160.41 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat?No | sell | 168.63 | $0.998 | $168.29 | 19d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 52.47 | $0.974 | $51.11 | 20d ago |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.971 | $48.55 | 20d ago |
 Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 52.26 | $0.978 | $51.11 | 20d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.974 | $37.46 | 20d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.975 | $19.6 | 21d ago |
 Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?No | buy | 52.23 | $0.978 | $51.08 | 22d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 52.56 | $0.674 | $35.45 | 22d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.980 | $34.3 | 23d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 37.49 | $0.981 | $36.78 | 23d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 52.43 | $0.979 | $51.33 | 23d ago |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 52.38 | $0.980 | $51.33 | 23d ago |
 Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.979 | $0.16 | 23d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?Yes | buy | 52.81 | $0.972 | $51.33 | 23d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?No | sell | 171.36 | $0.950 | $162.79 | 23d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 30.89 | $0.980 | $30.27 | 23d ago |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.980 | $36.26 | 23d ago |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?No | buy | 52.31 | $0.978 | $51.16 | 23d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-05 House seat?Yes | sell | 85.18 | $0.950 | $80.92 | 24d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 5.6 | $0.976 | $5.47 | 25d ago |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.973 | $15.57 | 25d ago |
| Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?No | buy | 14.48 | $0.979 | $14.18 | 25d ago |