Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | No | 455.63 | $0.860 | $434.21 | +$42.39 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.101 | $2.84 | 14d ago |
 |
| No |
| 400.77 |
| $0.724 |
| $350.68 |
| +$60.34 |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 627.77 | $0.317 | $153.8 | -$45 |
 Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? | Yes | 126.47 | $0.358 | $61.97 | +$16.72 |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | No | 52.99 | $0.824 | $49.2 | +$5.54 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 614.9 | $0.100 | $27.67 | -$33.82 |
 Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? | No | 69.05 | $0.400 | $25.89 | -$1.73 |
 Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | Yes | 111.63 | $0.080 | $25.12 | +$16.19 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | No | 25.77 | $0.825 | $23.58 | +$2.33 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 86 | $0.190 | $23.22 | +$6.88 |
 Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 147.56 | $0.180 | $22.13 | -$4.43 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 225.92 | $0.077 | $16.94 | -$0.59 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 188 | $0.159 | $13.25 | -$16.64 |
 Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026? | Yes | 34.59 | $0.220 | $8.13 | +$0.52 |
 Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | No | 26.62 | $0.580 | $8.12 | -$7.33 |
 Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 171.6 | $0.050 | $7.55 | -$1.03 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 720 | $0.005 | $6.84 | +$3.24 |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 41.31 | $0.130 | $5.37 | $0 |
 Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 58 | $0.055 | $4.35 | +$1.16 |
| Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? | Yes | 24.39 | $0.180 | $3.05 | -$1.34 |
 Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? | Yes | 50.33 | $0.112 | $2.14 | -$3.48 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 51.55 | $0.051 | $1.68 | -$0.94 |
| Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 1.59 | $0.209 | $1.41 | +$1.07 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.19 | $0.842 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 360.28 | $0.122 | $1.08 | -$42.74 |
| sell |
| 26 |
| $0.760 |
| $19.76 |
| 14d ago |
 Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 648 | $0.023 | $14.8 | 19d ago |
 Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?No | sell | 289 | $0.200 | $57.8 | 19d ago |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?No | sell | 38 | $0.210 | $7.98 | 19d ago |
| Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?No | sell | 151 | $0.640 | $96.64 | 19d ago |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 147.56 | $0.180 | $26.56 | 20d ago |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.190 | $16.34 | 21d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 205.43 | $0.023 | $4.71 | 21d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 309.89 | $0.178 | $55.16 | 21d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.032 | $1.78 | 21d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.670 | $8.04 | 22d ago |
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?No | sell | 17 | $0.160 | $2.72 | 22d ago |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?No | sell | 82 | $0.214 | $17.57 | 22d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.670 | $8.71 | 22d ago |
| Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes | sell | 134 | $0.321 | $43.03 | 22d ago |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?No | sell | 82 | $0.220 | $18.04 | 22d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 37 | $0.673 | $24.92 | 22d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?No | sell | 126 | $0.783 | $98.64 | 26d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes | sell | 171 | $0.750 | $128.25 | 26d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.930 | $24.18 | 26d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?No | sell | 14 | $0.790 | $11.06 | 26d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 713.91 | $0.023 | $16.42 | 26d ago |
| Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?No | buy | 177.62 | $0.580 | $103.06 | 26d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | 26d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.550 | $6.6 | 26d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes | sell | 414 | $0.790 | $327.06 | 26d ago |
 Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 234.03 | $0.790 | $184.88 | 26d ago |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes | sell | 353 | $0.043 | $15.04 | 26d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 24.99 | $0.560 | $13.99 | 26d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | 26d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 56 | $0.600 | $33.6 | 26d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 547 | $0.300 | $164.1 | 27d ago |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?No | buy | 988.77 | $0.170 | $168.13 | 27d ago |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?No | sell | 69 | $0.913 | $63 | 29d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 494.03 | $0.361 | $178.19 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 362 | $0.010 | $3.62 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.91 | $0.031 | $2.21 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.070 | $2.38 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Yes | sell | 71 | $0.071 | $5.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 829.97 | $0.325 | $269.34 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 284 | $0.100 | $28.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 330.9 | $0.100 | $33.09 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 103 | $0.023 | $2.37 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 261 | $0.330 | $86.13 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.080 | $1.68 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 450.62 | $0.035 | $15.6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 389.21 | $0.250 | $97.28 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 684.16 | $0.320 | $218.93 | Aug 5, 2026 |