Analytics
Yes is at 65%, up 24 points from 41% when the market opened on 2 Apr 2026.
The high was 70.5% on 8 Oct 2026 and the low 28.5% on 21 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 56%; a month ago, 60.5%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 35.5% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?”.
$60 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.19K since listing. The order book holds $126.1, with a 28.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 99 trades, $257.37 bought Yes and $308.99 bought No.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 165 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 80. Ten wallets hold 77.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 2:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 180 points · 2 Apr 2026 – 9 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | 41.0% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 65.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 164.95 |
| AJSV | No | 80.18 |
| lizlocks | No | 69.05 |
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-appear-in-avengers-doomsday
8 more markets, none above 58.0%.
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| No |
| 58 |
| DuneMentat | No | 50 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 44.95 |
| pppnn | Yes | 40.01 |
| perepuk | Yes | 40 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| Pesky-Cranberry | Yes | 39.13 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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