Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? | Yes | 188.43 | $0.556 | $89.5 | -$15.33 |
 Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes | sell | 3.25 | $0.800 | $2.6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.482 |
| $69 |
| +$20.83 |
 Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? | Yes | 95.88 | $0.952 | $60.89 | -$30.35 |
| Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? | No | 118.1 | $0.534 | $54.92 | -$8.17 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? | No | 40.52 | $0.949 | $37.5 | -$0.96 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 38.98 | $0.690 | $32.55 | +$5.65 |
 Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.730 | $31 | +$1.8 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.817 | $27.4 | -$5.27 |
 Will Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.733 | $25.8 | +$3.8 |
| Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? | Yes | 40 | $0.635 | $24.8 | -$0.6 |
 Will Valantis launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.830 | $18.6 | -$14.6 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.470 | $15.7 | +$6.3 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.710 | $15.7 | +$1.5 |
 Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | No | 20 | $0.920 | $15.47 | -$2.93 |
 Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | 15 | $0.968 | $14.96 | +$0.44 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.850 | $13.7 | -$3.3 |
 Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 15.2 | $0.810 | $11.61 | -$0.7 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.585 | $11.4 | -$12 |
| Will Hyperbeat launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.860 | $11.2 | -$6 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 41.15 | $0.560 | $10.7 | -$12.34 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31? | Yes | 19.51 | $0.830 | $10.54 | -$5.66 |
 Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | No | 10.79 | $0.925 | $10.44 | +$0.46 |
 Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10.22 | $0.934 | $9.79 | +$0.25 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.860 | $9.05 | +$0.45 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.700 | $8.9 | -$5.1 |
| sell |
| 4.49 |
| $0.711 |
| $3.19 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 4.85 | $0.240 | $1.16 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No | sell | 8.76 | $0.680 | $5.96 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?No | sell | 9.4 | $0.890 | $8.37 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?No | sell | 11.88 | $0.840 | $9.98 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Michael Masuda advance from the CA-05 primary election?No | sell | 15 | $0.010 | $0.15 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Brandon West be the Democratic nominee for NV-03?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Moises Ballesteros win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.011 | $0.22 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Aaron Boone win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.010 | $0.3 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Innio not IPO before August 2026?Yes | sell | 3.29 | $0.020 | $0.07 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Innio not IPO before August 2026?Yes | sell | 3.48 | $0.030 | $0.1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 129.59 | $0.011 | $1.43 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 14.51 | $0.820 | $11.9 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.950 | $14.39 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 16.61 | $0.965 | $16.03 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?No | sell | 118.02 | $0.840 | $99.14 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.050 | $1.61 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will The Clearing Company self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.78 | $0.050 | $0.84 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.030 | $1.2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.860 | $16.54 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | sell | 19.97 | $0.420 | $8.39 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?Yes | sell | 60.07 | $0.062 | $3.7 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Yes | sell | 20.72 | $0.140 | $2.9 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?No | sell | 71.5 | $0.580 | $41.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?No | sell | 115.61 | $0.600 | $69.37 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Martin O'Donnell be the Republican nominee for NV-03?No | sell | 102.52 | $0.011 | $1.12 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.322 | $39 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.386 | $386 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Oakland Athletics win the 2026 AL West title?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.120 | $6.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Chi Charlie Nguyen advance from the CA-45 primary election?No | sell | 14 | $0.780 | $10.92 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Giancarlo Stanton win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.020 | $1.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.030 | $1.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.030 | $1.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | sell | 60 | $0.023 | $1.38 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | sell | 143.73 | $0.860 | $123.61 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?No | sell | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?No | sell | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?No | sell | 20 | $0.961 | $19.22 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes | sell | 50.76 | $0.080 | $4.06 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes | sell | 59.99 | $0.090 | $5.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 117.71 | $0.012 | $1.41 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win less than 10% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.770 | $23.33 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No | sell | 111.62 | $0.023 | $2.57 | May 31, 2026 |