Analytics
Yes is at 74%, up 22 points from 52% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
The high was 74% on 21 Oct 2026 and the low 52% on 17 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 70.5% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale”.
$1.5K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.59K since listing. The order book holds $4.67K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 107 trades, $4.15K bought Yes and $1.8K bought No; the largest was a $1.01K buy of Yes at 67.3¢.
The largest Yes position is YEEES-but-why with 2.2K shares; the largest No position is FrogCharts with 2K. Ten wallets hold 71.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 13 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 21, 2:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 52.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 74.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| YEEES-but-why | Yes | 2.24K |
| cr1mean | Yes | 2K |
| FrogCharts | No | 2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments to the official 1W public sale exceed the specified value at any point before November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the headline pool total displayed on the official 1W Token Sale page at https://1wtoken.com/ (the "US$[amount] of US$[allocation]" figure). Total commitments refers to this gross pool amount, including any oversubscription above the sale's allocation, and not the final allocated amount after excess deposits are refunded. If the sale page displays only a net or allocated figure rather than the gross pool amount, official announcements of the gross amount from 1W will be used. The sale accepts deposits in US dollar stablecoins (USDC), which are counted as US dollars at 1:1. If the displayed figure exceeds the specified value at any point before November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. A displayed figure exactly equal to the specified value will not qualify. If the figure on the sale page is unavailable, official announcements from 1W (https://x.com/1winToken) may be used; if no official figure is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If no commitment total is verifiable by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, including because the sale is put on hold, cancelled, or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market will resolve to "No". If requisite information for this market's resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". If the sale is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution, provided the displayed figure exceeds the specified value before November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-1win-1w-public-sale
| mewmew1 |
| Yes |
| 1.55K |
| JSAFDIHFAKFSKFKSJ | No | 1.21K |
| VLGE | No | 772.61 |
| Viserys | No | 720 |
| sarasea | Yes | 599.99 |
| Sibastian | No | 539.98 |
| xart | No | 400 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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