Analytics
Yes is at 34.5%, down 2.5 points from 37% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 43%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 34.5% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale”.
$31.42K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $115.34K since listing. The order book holds $9.41K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $13.19K bought Yes and $41.62K bought No; the largest was a $2.19K buy of No at 74.7¢.
The largest Yes position is YEEES-but-why with 6.7K shares; the largest No position is alanhutton with 7K. Ten wallets hold 40.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 37.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 34.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alanhutton | No | 7K |
| YEEES-but-why | Yes | 6.75K |
| thatguy33 | No | 6.17K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments to the official 1W public sale exceed the specified value at any point before November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the headline pool total displayed on the official 1W Token Sale page at https://1wtoken.com/ (the "US$[amount] of US$[allocation]" figure). Total commitments refers to this gross pool amount, including any oversubscription above the sale's allocation, and not the final allocated amount after excess deposits are refunded. If the sale page displays only a net or allocated figure rather than the gross pool amount, official announcements of the gross amount from 1W will be used. The sale accepts deposits in US dollar stablecoins (USDC), which are counted as US dollars at 1:1. If the displayed figure exceeds the specified value at any point before November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. A displayed figure exactly equal to the specified value will not qualify. If the figure on the sale page is unavailable, official announcements from 1W (https://x.com/1winToken) may be used; if no official figure is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If no commitment total is verifiable by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, including because the sale is put on hold, cancelled, or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market will resolve to "No". If requisite information for this market's resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". If the sale is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution, provided the displayed figure exceeds the specified value before November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-1win-1w-public-sale
| Well-Made-Crayfish |
| Yes |
| 6.07K |
| slivdn | Yes | 5.46K |
| mkk555 | Yes | 4.9K |
| Beyonddream | No | 4.08K |
| nerb | No | 3.64K |
| Calculating-Yam | No | 3.29K |
| stoic-jang | No | 3.22K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
