Analytics
Yes is at 94%, up 22 points from 71.5% when the market opened on 9 Apr 2026.
Across the 185 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95.5% on 22 Aug 2026 and the lowest 66.5% on 8 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 95%; a month before, 95%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 66.5% on 8 May 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?”.
$12.01K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $999.86, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 237 trades, $2.03K bought Yes and $641.53 bought No.
The largest Yes position is DuneMentat with 523 shares; the largest No position is jjams with 381. Ten wallets hold 69.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 10:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 185 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 71.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 94.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DuneMentat | Yes | 523 |
| rafaroitman | Yes | 486.34 |
| jjams | No | 380.78 |
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-appear-in-avengers-doomsday
8 more markets, none above 52.5%.
| doil |
| Yes |
| 323.23 |
| GUINESS123 | No | 281 |
| bananabreakfast | No | 252.15 |
| MeIsTRUBH | Yes | 250 |
| defkaki | Yes | 203.13 |
| unrealjim | No | 147.79 |
| planktonXD | No | 120 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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