Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | No | 404.28 | $0.769 | $329.49 | +$18.64 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 5d ago |
|
| No |
| 317.3 |
| $0.690 |
| $276.05 |
| +$57.05 |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | No | 283.63 | $0.680 | $251.01 | +$58.21 |
 Will New Hampshire have the closest Senate race in 2026? | No | 247.06 | $0.890 | $231.37 | +$11.37 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 340.14 | $0.492 | $222.79 | +$55.31 |
 Will BP be acquired before 2027? | No | 219.88 | $0.820 | $213.39 | +$33.09 |
 Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? | No | 245.53 | $0.654 | $212.38 | +$51.72 |
 Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | Mayweather | 416.06 | $0.529 | $205.95 | -$14.08 |
 Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? | No | 211.08 | $0.482 | $198.42 | +$96.76 |
 Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | No | 217.91 | $0.440 | $187.4 | +$91.52 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 305.2 | $0.445 | $167.4 | +$31.72 |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | No | 149.95 | $0.867 | $145.08 | +$15.08 |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 521.94 | $0.340 | $127.88 | -$49.32 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | No | 124.87 | $0.775 | $120.31 | +$23.56 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 340.05 | $0.388 | $117.32 | -$14.56 |
 Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | No | 132.05 | $0.650 | $112.24 | +$26.34 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat? | Yes | 114.42 | $0.860 | $109.9 | +$11.5 |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? | No | 118.06 | $0.830 | $106.84 | +$8.85 |
| Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | No | 81.54 | $0.736 | $76.12 | +$16.12 |
 Will Oregon be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season? | No | 102.45 | $0.530 | $72.23 | +$17.93 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | Yes | 524.53 | $0.318 | $68.19 | -$98.63 |
 Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 100 | $0.630 | $66.5 | +$3.5 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 332.11 | $0.365 | $66.42 | -$54.71 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.? | No | 68.21 | $0.733 | $64.12 | +$14.12 |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | Yes | 123.02 | $0.528 | $63.97 | -$1.03 |
| buy |
| 3.39 |
| $0.590 |
| $2 |
| 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | 11d ago |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Pacquiao | sell | 9.18 | $0.420 | $3.86 | 12d ago |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Pacquiao | buy | 9.18 | $0.490 | $4.5 | 12d ago |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Mayweather | buy | 202.79 | $0.540 | $109.43 | 12d ago |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Mayweather | buy | 10.19 | $0.520 | $5.3 | 12d ago |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Mayweather | buy | 203.08 | $0.519 | $105.3 | 12d ago |
| Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | 12d ago |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Yes | buy | 123.02 | $0.528 | $65 | 25d ago |
| Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 41.41 | $0.411 | $17 | 25d ago |
| Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 73.05 | $0.616 | $45 | 25d ago |
| Will Notre Dame be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?Yes | buy | 30.43 | $0.230 | $7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Notre Dame be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?Yes | buy | 104.35 | $0.230 | $24 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Kenta MiyoshiLucas Poullain | sell | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Kenta MiyoshiLucas Poullain | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Texas be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?Yes | buy | 34.31 | $0.290 | $9.95 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Oregon be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?No | buy | 102.45 | $0.530 | $54.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 56.23 | $0.640 | $36 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.752 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Amazon say "Supply Chain" during earnings call?No | buy | 11.43 | $0.350 | $4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Amazon say "Supply Chain" during earnings call?No | buy | 17.14 | $0.350 | $6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Amazon say "Supply Chain" during earnings call?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.350 | $3.6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Amazon say "Supply Chain" during earnings call?No | buy | 31.43 | $0.350 | $11 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Amazon say "Supply Chain" during earnings call?No | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Amazon say "Tariff" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 166.5 | $0.667 | $111 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Tele-Rally?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.580 | $1.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during Tele-Rally?No | buy | 25.83 | $0.240 | $6.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Cristobal?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.280 | $3.5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 242.46 | $0.231 | $56 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 192.14 | $0.229 | $44 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 51.9 | $0.079 | $4.1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 52.48 | $0.095 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes | buy | 443.71 | $0.023 | $10 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.022 | $4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes | buy | 35.63 | $0.110 | $3.93 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | buy | 75.91 | $0.698 | $53 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | buy | 20.29 | $0.690 | $14 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | buy | 76.17 | $0.683 | $52 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.104 | $3.52 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes | buy | 43.81 | $0.210 | $9.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No | buy | 45.5 | $0.793 | $36.1 | Jul 26, 2026 |