Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.9%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 6 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 14 Sep 2026, the highest close was 93.9% on 14 Sep 2026 and the lowest 19% on 9 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 68% on 17 Aug 2026. $793.63 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 14 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| 14 Sep 2026 | 93.9% |
2 more markets, none above 1.8%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| Misty Ledger 44F3 | No | 15 |
| Plaintive-Agreement | No | 15 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked #1 on the AP top 25 College Football Poll during any gameweek of the 2026-27 season, preseason polls do not count. Otherwise this market will resolve "No". This market does not count any other ranking sources such as other power rankings or CFP rankings. The primary resolution source for this market will be the AP News Top 25 College Football Poll (https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-be-ranked-1-20260803152641598
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
| a5533 | No | 9.02 |
| monoclith | No | 0.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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