Analytics
Trading ended on 11 Sep 2026 with Yes at 50%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 24 Aug 2026 and the lowest 4% on 12 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%; a month before, 49.5%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 50.5% on 24 Aug 2026.
It is one of 13 markets under “NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1”.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 12:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
1 more market, none above 1.6%.
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked #1 on the AP top 25 College Football Poll during any gameweek of the 2026-27 season, preseason polls do not count. Otherwise this market will resolve "No". This market does not count any other ranking sources such as other power rankings or CFP rankings. The primary resolution source for this market will be the AP News Top 25 College Football Poll (https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-be-ranked-1-20260803152641598
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