Analytics
Trading is closed with the Mayweather side last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 201 daily closes on record from 24 Feb 2026 to 5 Oct 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 72% on 24 Feb 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 11 Aug 2026. A week before that last close the Mayweather side was at 49.5%; a month before, 50.5%. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 52% on 27 Jun 2026.
$224.81K has traded since listing.
The largest Mayweather position is esinei with 303 shares; the largest Pacquiao position is Solar Orbit E663 with 294. Ten wallets hold 71.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 3:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Mayweather price, Polymarket CLOB, 201 points, 24 Feb 2026 – 5 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Mayweather price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | 72.0% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| esinei | Mayweather | 303.03 |
| Solar Orbit E663 | Pacquiao | 294.12 |
| goodoldlaughlike | Mayweather | 215.69 |
This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/floyd-mayweather-vs-manny-pacquiao-2
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| Thorny-Senate | Mayweather | 152.13 |
| CarlosVizcainoS | Pacquiao | 140.33 |
| Gargantuan-Flash | Pacquiao | 100.42 |
| Tituus | Mayweather | 81 |
| Nice-Goodnight | Pacquiao | 74.07 |
| Eugenepoly | Mayweather | 60 |
| Grubymajki | Pacquiao | 58.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
