Latest trade
May 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:25 AM UTC.
Analytics
Thorny-Senate is down $422.79 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 7 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:25 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 35 trades covered 27 markets; 82.9% were buys. They run from Mar 11, 2026 UTC to May 9, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.080 | $29.38 | -$70.63 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-06 00:39 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 03:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
35 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 03:25 UTC
polymarket positions
8 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-06 00:39 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $152.33 and losing ones cost $0.52 across 7 settled positions. 57.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $95.28 on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.48 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 9 May 2026. It has traded 27 markets. Its open positions are worth $29.38 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 11.66K |
| $0.009 |
| $100 |
| May 9, 2026 UTC |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 527.77 | $0.370 | $195.27 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 527.77 | $0.189 | $100 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.300 | $100 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 679.33 | $0.015 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,900-$7,000 in March?Yes | buy | 40.37 | $0.495 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.048 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 17?Up | buy | 32.28 | $0.310 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 84.05 | $0.119 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No | sell | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?No | buy | 45.48 | $0.217 | $9.86 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 22?No | buy | 188.44 | $0.053 | $9.99 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 144.92 | $0.930 | $134.78 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.066 | $100 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.004 | $100 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.048 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 290.9 | $0.034 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETDown | sell | 19.68 | $0.491 | $9.66 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETDown | buy | 19.38 | $0.500 | $9.69 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | sell | 11.21 | $0.890 | $9.98 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 11.19 | $0.889 | $9.95 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Mayweather | buy | 152.13 | $0.657 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?No | buy | 34.88 | $0.430 | $15 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 31.91 | $0.177 | $5.65 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 62.62 | $0.158 | $9.91 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 15.26 | $0.320 | $4.88 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.