Analytics
Yes is at 6.6%, down 34 points from 41% when the market opened on 2 Apr 2026.
Across the 198 daily closes on record from 2 Apr 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 16 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 15 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.8%; a month before, 6.7%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 12% on 14 May 2026.
It is one of 71 markets under “Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?”.
$2.77K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $14.65K, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 143 trades, $41.21 bought Yes and $668.31 bought No.
The largest Yes position is thecaricature with 140 shares; the largest No position is HotDogs with 401. Ten wallets hold 86% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 198 points, 2 Apr 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | 41.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 6.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HotDogs | No | 401.03 |
| simpleman | No | 165.7 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 140 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027
58 more markets, none above 6.9%.
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 110.27 |
| Solar Horizon E619 | Yes | 101.93 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 100.81 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 67.03 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 62.68 |
| gonnakilmyslf | No | 30 |
| Gabriel369 | Yes | 27.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
