
Resolved Yes on 30 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.4%. Yes opened at 95.6% on 5 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 74 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 30 Jun 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 96.3% on 13 Jun 2026 and the lowest 86.7% on 7 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.8 points up, to 92.7% on 9 May 2026. $231.61K traded over the market's life.
136 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 5:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 30 Jun 2026, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 95.6% |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 94.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| -FROMTHEFUTURE- | No | 13.91K |
| arbiteroftruth | No | 2.37K |
| h038596027355 | No | 2.23K |
The Supreme Court is hearing arguments on the merits of Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/) which directed that children born in the United States would not automatically receive U.S. citizenship if their parents were in the country unlawfully or on certain temporary visas. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”. If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/scotus-strikes-down-trumps-birthright-citizenship-eo
| No |
| 2.22K |
| ketib2 | No | 1.76K |
| MonetaryIdiot | No | 1.49K |
| Cavernous-Alpenglow | No | 1.46K |
| clowncollege | No | 1.4K |
| qeguyeqwyriuyeq | No | 1.38K |
| Keen Falcon D40C | No | 1.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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