Analytics
Resolved No on 7 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83.9%. Yes opened at 97% on 5 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 97% on 5 Apr 2026 and the low 8.3% on 28 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 17% on 26 Apr 2026. $4.53K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 8, 3:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 19 points · 5 Apr 2026 – 7 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 97.0% |
| 7 May 2026 | 16.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| smartrandom | Yes | 200 |
| Elastic-Banquette | Yes | 179.82 |
| 32asdadada | Yes | 176.2 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 91.69 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trumps-mail-in-voting-executive-order-blocked-in-april
| Keen Falcon D40C | No | 25.32 |
| trezpped | Yes | 21 |
| Webbed-Stitcher | No | 13.68 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Clean-Employ | Yes | 1.11 |
| Mingomtman | Yes | 1.11 |
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