Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 12% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 194 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 8 Jun 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 12% on 6 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 100% on 6 Jun 2026. $923.2K traded over the market's life.
442 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 8, 11:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 194 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 8 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 12.0% |
| 8 Jun 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yesworld28 | No | 21K |
| Swift Comet 6A24 | No | 18.86K |
| ponziscalpr | No | 16K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-province-schedule-a-referendum-to-leave-canada-before-2027
New to prediction markets?
| Messy-Cartridge | No | 12.78K |
| Rapid Kestrel FEB0 | No | 10.39K |
| M4tateno | No | 10K |
| mvkv | No | 10K |
| Rapid Orbit F73D | No | 7.39K |
| randyrandyrandy | No | 5.42K |
| LHW1 | No | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
