Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | sell | 0.21 | $0.290 | $0.06 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 0.71 |
| $0.090 |
| $0.06 |
| Aug 13, 2024 |
 Someone else next Prime Minister of France?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.220 | $0.06 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Lucie Castets appointed as French PM by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.62 | $0.020 | $0.01 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.270 | $0.09 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q3 2024?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.910 | $0.09 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Was there an order to hold fire?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.967 | $0.1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.890 | $0.1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Weirdo" in August?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.090 | $0.03 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "Venn diagram" in August?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.880 | $0.1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Context" in August?No | sell | 0.41 | $0.010 | $0 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.920 | $0.1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.983 | $0.1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.959 | $0.11 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.956 | $0.11 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Democratic | sell | 0.17 | $0.630 | $0.11 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.870 | $0.1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Kamala campaign accepts crypto donations before September?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.900 | $0.11 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.890 | $0.11 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.650 | $0.12 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.840 | $0.12 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Trump photographed holding baby in August?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.860 | $0.11 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.280 | $0.1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.058 | $0.13 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump post on X again before election?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.999 | $0.15 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.780 | $0.2 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Biden's 538 approval reach 40% in August?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.490 | $0.14 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.940 | $0.24 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.53 | $0.525 | $0.28 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.920 | $0.34 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No | sell | 0.41 | $0.080 | $0.03 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 0.1 | $0.520 | $0.05 | Aug 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Trans" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 0.2 | $0.490 | $0.1 | Aug 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Weird" during Elon interview?No | buy | 0.15 | $0.660 | $0.1 | Aug 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Illegal immigrant" during Elon interview?No | buy | 0.27 | $0.370 | $0.1 | Aug 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Mars" during Elon interview?No | buy | 0.14 | $0.690 | $0.1 | Aug 10, 2024 |
 Will US sell Silk Road BTC before election?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.650 | $0.16 | Aug 10, 2024 |
 Will Stancil wins Minnesota House Democratic Primary?No | sell | 0.37 | $0.770 | $0.28 | Aug 10, 2024 |
| 3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.770 | $0.2 | Aug 10, 2024 |
 EDL declared terrorist org in August?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.060 | $0.1 | Aug 10, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Monday?No | sell | 0.71 | $0.780 | $0.55 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| VP debate before election?No | buy | 0.71 | $0.140 | $0.1 | Aug 8, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick on Tuesday?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.002 | $0 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.37 | $0.860 | $0.32 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 0.24 | $0.850 | $0.2 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.046 | $0.1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 0.24 | $0.420 | $0.1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?Yes | buy | 0.33 | $0.300 | $0.1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?Yes | sell | 0.7 | $0.060 | $0.04 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.63 | $0.080 | $0.05 | Aug 6, 2024 |