Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 9 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 224 daily closes on record from 9 May 2024 to 18 Dec 2024, the highest close was 19% on 8 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 17% on 14 Nov 2024. $451.46K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 19, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 224 points, 9 May 2024 – 18 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 May 2024 | 8.5% |
| 18 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MxT | Yes | 8K |
| afsafasdasdf | Yes | 3.4K |
| dyson | Yes | 3.04K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the second most votes in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on the official certification of the election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-rfk-jr-place-second-in-any-state
| kingfisher | Yes | 1.77K |
| Bigdog666 | Yes | 1.54K |
| WiseCanyon214 | Yes | 1K |
| soul | Yes | 1K |
| abalsidjelwl | Yes | 322.58 |
| FITAID | Yes | 303.21 |
| jess1234 | Yes | 292.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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