Will Trump post on X again before election?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Aug 15, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$876.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 15, 2024 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 15 Aug 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 55% on 24 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2024 to 15 Aug 2024, the highest close was 100% on 14 Aug 2024 and the lowest 40.5% on 26 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 88.5% on 12 Aug 2024. $876.05K traded over the market's life.

29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 9:01 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 24 Jul 2024 – 15 Aug 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Jul 2024	55.0%
15 Aug 2024	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
iioooiii	No	5K
Stocksbaby	No	1.1K
amcritchie	No	270.27
andyrobert	No	125

10 of 29 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/tweets again, between July 22 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply posts/tweets count toward a "Yes" resolution, but reposts/retweets will not count. The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified X/Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump. Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified X/Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump posts/tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.