Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 85.5%. Yes opened at 74.5% on 6 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 90% on 1 Nov 2024 and the low 14% on 3 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 31.5% on 7 Jul 2024. $179.62K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 3, 2:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 120 points · 6 Jul 2024 – 2 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2024 | 74.5% |
| 2 Nov 2024 | 85.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 175.97K |
| rampantmulchman | No | 120.38 |
| Spotted-Examination | No | 51.28 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Kemi Badenoch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-uk-leader-of-the-conservatives
| No |
| 7.81 |
| Lunar Sphinx B34E | Yes | 5 |
| Emerald Harbor F255 | No | 4.53 |
| kalisci | Yes | 1.29 |
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