Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.7%. Yes opened at 82.5% on 9 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 194 daily closes on record from 9 Mar 2024 to 18 Sep 2024, the highest close was 98.7% on 18 Sep 2024 and the lowest 33.5% on 30 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 53% on 4 May 2024. $20.35M traded over the market's life.
413 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 8:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 194 points, 9 Mar 2024 – 18 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Mar 2024 | 82.5% |
| 18 Sep 2024 | 98.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| theyreeatingthecats | No | 755.37K |
| Tiger666 | No | 146.84K |
| Hans777 | No | 117.5K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 6, 2024 ET and September 18, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until September 18, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by
| MRSTUDENT | No | 81.26K |
| AddictedGamber | No | 77.24K |
| CapaciousC | No | 74.7K |
| RenderRookie | No | 66.89K |
| ukliver | No | 65K |
| Doggo | No | 56.48K |
| premature-facts | No | 50.04K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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