Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 41% on 1 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 41% on 1 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.9% on 31 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 9% on 3 Aug 2024. $12.23K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 3:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 1 Aug 2024 – 1 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2024 | 41.0% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Chilly-Array | Yes | 10 |
| mushrumguy | Yes | 0.06 |
| Basis | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lucie Castets is officially appointed as Prime Minister of France by 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The appointment of Castets will be sufficient for a "Yes", resolution regardless of whether Castets subsequently passes a vote of confidence or is able to successfully form a government. The primary resolution will be official information from the French government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lucie-castets-appointed-as-french-pm-by-august-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 0.03 |
| treeokatree90 | Yes | 0.03 |
| dinnerclock | Yes | 0.03 |
| PB74 | Yes | 0.02 |
| story | No | 0.02 |
| youmusdtkeepthat | No | 0.02 |
| wetrytomakemoney | No | 0.01 |
