Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 83.5% on 23 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 23 Jul 2024 to 2 Oct 2024, the highest close was 100% on 2 Oct 2024 and the lowest 68% on 3 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 68% on 3 Aug 2024. $1.33M traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 12:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 23 Jul 2024 – 2 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2024 | 83.5% |
| 2 Oct 2024 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Turbulent-Wound | No | 266.15K |
| Jack137 | No | 333.33 |
| MacN | No | 238.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2024 US Vice Presidential nominees from the Democratic and Republican parties engage in a live, publicly-broadcast debate by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The resolution source for this market will be footage of such a debate, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vp-debate-before-election
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 166.67 |
| AHMED | No | 54.55 |
| Alex29 | No | 40 |
| BetMoore | No | 35.71 |
| Livid-Actor | No | 20 |
| Jade Horizon EA95 | No | 13.49 |
| CHiggins-854 | No | 7.14 |
