Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump and Harris debate before election?No | buy | 20 | $0.052 | $1.04 | Aug 14, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 86.95 |
| $0.130 |
| $11.3 |
| Aug 7, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.180 | $14.4 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Harris lead by 0.1-0.4 points on August 9?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.090 | $0.99 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump lead by 0.5-0.9 points on August 9?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.022 | $0.99 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump lead by 0-0.4 points on August 9?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.030 | $0.99 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 VP debate before election?No | buy | 22.75 | $0.140 | $3.19 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.995 | $39.8 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 13 | $0.997 | $12.96 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.029 | $1.16 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.011 | $2.2 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.042 | $2.1 | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump post on X again before election?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.580 | $10.54 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | sell | 83.66 | $0.093 | $7.81 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.036 | $1.08 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will J. B. Pritzker be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.004 | $0.8 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 David Cameron next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.013 | $1.04 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick Sunday?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 France wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 13 | $0.320 | $4.16 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.054 | $2.16 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Turkey suspends diplomatic relations with Israel?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.180 | $2.7 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?Yes | sell | 29.45 | $0.331 | $9.75 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?No | buy | 98.56 | $0.007 | $0.69 | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Will Trump post on X again before election?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Kamala announces VP pick in July?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Trump and Harris debate before election?No | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 83.67 | $0.120 | $10 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?Yes | buy | 29.46 | $0.679 | $20 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "Couch" before August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.357 | $19.28 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Tesla Robotaxi unveiling delayed?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 459 | $0.280 | $128.52 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 540.54 | $0.270 | $145.95 | Jul 20, 2024 |