Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 32% on 17 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 32% on 17 Jul 2024 and the low 0.1% on 1 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 23.5% on 20 Jul 2024. $98.06K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 12:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 47 points · 17 Jul 2024 – 1 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2024 | 32.0% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NeoWonk | Yes | 205.14 |
| MountainEcho | Yes | 32 |
| Partial-Arthur | Yes | 21.74 |
| RadLilDude | Yes | 9.17 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, definitive evidence is made public confirming law enforcement officers (including the Secret Service) were aware of a potential threat, and were explicitly ordered to hold fire against Thomas Matthew Crooks during the campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be publicly released information from relevant law enforcement agencies, and any information released from government investigations into the incident.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fact-check-law-enforcement-ordered-to-hold-fire
| Clubbage | Yes | 4.16 |
| Arid-Result | No | 1.43 |
| fgfdah123 | No | 0.07 |
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 0.04 |
| zhangcong3 | Yes | 0.03 |
| Latent | Yes | 0.03 |
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