Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 56.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 9 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 9 Aug 2024 to 13 Aug 2024, the highest close was 49% on 9 Aug 2024 and the lowest 34% on 10 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 34% on 10 Aug 2024. $222.07K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 14, 4:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 9 Aug 2024 – 13 Aug 2024, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2024 | 49.0% |
| 13 Aug 2024 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On Tuesday, Donald Trump said he will do "a major interview with Elon Musk" on the night of Monday, August 12. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "weird" during his interview with Elon Musk currently scheduled for August 12. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no interview between Musk and Trump is publicly released by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "weird" is part of the compound word and means something or someone strange or abnormal. The resolution source will be the first publicly released footage of the interview, which includes substantial and continuous content.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-elon-interview
| kakui13 | Yes | 440.91 |
| Humiliating-Stump | Yes | 426.77 |
| Inconsequential-Recall | Yes | 405.41 |
| CherryStreet | Yes | 380.95 |
| bidenfan69 | Yes | 312.5 |
| Detailed-Waterwheel | Yes | 261.43 |
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