Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 73% on 2 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2024 to 14 Aug 2024, the highest close was 99.5% on 14 Aug 2024 and the lowest 56.5% on 12 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 99.5% on 14 Aug 2024. $25.54K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 1:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 2 Aug 2024 – 14 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2024 | 73.0% |
| 14 Aug 2024 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| weedbox | No | 0.08 |
| Intentional-Harp | No | 0.08 |
| BGUJN | No | 0.04 |
| bigben3 | No | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris publicly mentions the word "context" between August 1, 4:00 PM ET and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word "context" which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word "context" published through Kamala's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization (@KamalaHarris and @VP, would qualify however @KamalaHQ will not count). Videos posted on her social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kamala-say-in-august
| peacefulbro | No | 0.04 |
| RTFT | No | 0.04 |
| MonaCarmen | Yes | 0.03 |
| Phony-Span | No | 0.03 |
| Sarcastic-Worth | Yes | 0.03 |
| fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa | Yes | 0.02 |
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