Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 65.5%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 30 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2024 to 14 Aug 2024, the highest close was 68.5% on 13 Aug 2024 and the lowest 42.5% on 30 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 62% on 9 Aug 2024. $59.91K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 2:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 30 Jul 2024 – 14 Aug 2024, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2024 | 42.5% |
| 14 Aug 2024 | 65.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from June to July 2024. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.1 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from June to July 2024 and “No“ otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS July 2024 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 14, 2024, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. ---- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.2%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.1%, this market will resolve to “No”).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-inflation-0pt1-from-june-to-july-2024
| ningxiang | No | 0.03 |
| Indigo Voyager E113 | No | 0.03 |
| makemeloosemywater | Yes | 0.02 |
| puravida | Yes | 0.02 |
| TRUMPMAGA | Yes | 0.02 |
| Skip-Earthwax | No | 0.02 |
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