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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | sell | 23.24 | $0.690 | $16.04 | Dec 18, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 1 |
| $0.690 |
| $0.69 |
| Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 24.24 | $0.893 | $21.66 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 36.75 | $0.252 | $9.26 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | sell | 0.84 | $0.420 | $0.35 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | buy | 0.42 | $0.550 | $0.23 | Aug 15, 2024 |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | buy | 0.42 | $0.550 | $0.23 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Will the Teamsters endorse a Democrat?No | sell | 0.36 | $0.050 | $0.02 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Will Kamala be Nominee before Convention?No | sell | 4.9 | $0.005 | $0.02 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.020 | $0.04 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.090 | $0.01 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September?No | sell | 0.37 | $0.050 | $0.02 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Trump fined over $100k?No | sell | 0.24 | $0.460 | $0.11 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 538 favorite when forecast is turned on?Trump | sell | 0.36 | $0.230 | $0.08 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 María Corina Machado arrested before October?Yes | sell | 0.29 | $0.380 | $0.11 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 US bank failure before September?Yes | sell | 0.84 | $0.130 | $0.11 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?Yes | sell | 0.41 | $0.325 | $0.13 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.280 | $0.14 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?Yes | sell | 0.73 | $0.190 | $0.14 | Aug 3, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to probation?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.540 | $0.15 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by August 31?No | sell | 0.24 | $0.720 | $0.17 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | sell | 4.9 | $0.032 | $0.16 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will three or more members of The Squad lose their primaries?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.954 | $0.19 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will one member of The Squad lose their primary?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.790 | $0.2 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick before DNC?Yes | sell | 0.21 | $0.979 | $0.21 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?No | sell | 0.28 | $0.780 | $0.22 | Aug 3, 2024 |
| Will the Teamsters endorse a Republican?No | sell | 0.24 | $0.945 | $0.23 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Turkey suspends diplomatic relations with Israel?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.840 | $0.25 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.972 | $0.25 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | sell | 2.88 | $0.091 | $0.26 | Aug 3, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to house arrest?No | sell | 0.49 | $0.800 | $0.39 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 GPT-5 not announced in 2024?Yes | sell | 0.51 | $0.540 | $0.28 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?No | sell | 0.43 | $0.710 | $0.31 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 0.62 | $0.710 | $0.44 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump election interference trial start in September or October?No | sell | 0.58 | $0.945 | $0.55 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will the Democratic ticket be all male?No | sell | 0.53 | $0.998 | $0.53 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick Saturday?No | sell | 0.61 | $0.991 | $0.6 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Monday?Yes | sell | 0.8 | $0.830 | $0.66 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 10.28 | $0.065 | $0.67 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 U.S. military action against Iran by Monday?No | sell | 0.69 | $0.982 | $0.68 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will J. B. Pritzker announce presidential run before DNC?No | sell | 0.7 | $0.988 | $0.69 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 U.S. military action against Iran by August 31?No | sell | 0.9 | $0.890 | $0.8 | Aug 3, 2024 |
| GPT-5 announced in Q3 2024?No | sell | 0.91 | $0.920 | $0.84 | Aug 3, 2024 |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | sell | 1.94 | $0.450 | $0.87 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Biden speak at the DNC?Yes | sell | 0.98 | $0.920 | $0.9 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Garland releases Biden-Hur tape by August 31?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.947 | $1.02 | Aug 3, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 2.07 | $0.520 | $1.08 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump be president by September 1?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.993 | $1.12 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.872 | $1.64 | Aug 3, 2024 |