Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.8% on 3 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2024 to 2 Sep 2024, the highest close was 2.4% on 5 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Sep 2024. $326.89K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 2:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 3 Jul 2024 – 2 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2024 | 1.8% |
| 2 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Olegator1337 | No | 2.04 |
| Jake902 | Yes | 1.43 |
| mercuryplanet | Yes | 1.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump is President of the United States for any length of time between June 30 and September 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve to "No" once its end date has passed and Trump has not been President of the United States for any length of time. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-be-president-by-september-1
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1.11 |
| wife | Yes | 1.11 |
| office1st | Yes | 1 |
| QuinnWilliamszz | No | 0.08 |
| Anon5215 | No | 0.08 |
| Whataretheodds | No | 0.04 |
| Kapii | No | 0.03 |
