Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 55% on 2 Jun 2024. Before it settled, the high was 74% on 7 Aug 2024 and the low 0.8% on 5 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 2.1% on 7 Sep 2024. $128.85K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 1:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 157 points, 2 Jun 2024 – 5 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jun 2024 | 55.0% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| atrades | Yes | 250 |
| CleveJ | Yes | 50 |
| exhuman666 | Yes | 45.45 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is fined over $100,000 for convictions in the hush money case "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no fine is rendered before November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution will be based on the initial sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-hush-money-sentencing
| Yes |
| 32.11 |
| Manuis | Yes | 10 |
| rs3flow | Yes | 10 |
| Neon Pulse 4E46 | Yes | 10 |
| Fugasss | Yes | 2.22 |
| Jovialgent | Yes | 1.96 |
| oso-125 | Yes | 1.43 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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