Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 17% on 18 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2024 to 19 Aug 2024, the highest close was 28% on 23 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 19 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 14% on 24 Jul 2024. $770.33K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 20, 10:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 18 Jul 2024 – 19 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2024 | 17.0% |
| 19 Aug 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TriaKube | Yes | 13.45K |
| Voluminous-Investigation | Yes | 11.48K |
| pu15ar | Yes | 5.81K |
| dnc | Yes | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is diagnosed with a serious medical condition before the DNC officially starts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A serious medical condition is broadly defined as a condition in the severity category of Parkinson's, Dementia, or Cancer. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Joe Biden and/or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-diagnosed-with-medical-condition-before-dnc
| None0888 | Yes | 3.14K |
| tail-risk | Yes | 2.32K |
| iva | Yes | 2.15K |
| Fab768a91f08a1AF60abCaaC0143a24168697DB4 | Yes | 2.08K |
| DividedSkies | Yes | 2K |
| GreatestStoryNeverTold | Yes | 1.5K |
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