Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 1 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 158 daily closes on record from 1 Jun 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 43.5% on 6 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 5 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 43.5% on 6 Jul 2024. $36.12K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 4:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 158 points, 1 Jun 2024 – 5 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2024 | 28.5% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.3% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to any term of house arrest for convictions in the hush money case "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered before November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution will be based on the initial sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-hush-money-sentencing
| parhamdrw | Yes | 23.81 |
| Neon Pulse 4E46 | Yes | 8.95 |
| Fivead | Yes | 7.14 |
| FGHJDFGJDHG | Yes | 0.1 |
| Indigo Voyager E113 | Yes | 0.07 |
| ningxiang | No | 0.07 |
| pkz | No | 0.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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