
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 30 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 46.5% on 30 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.6% on 1 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 11.5% on 31 Jul 2024. $40.09K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 10:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 30 Jul 2024 – 1 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2024 | 46.5% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| odzinski.peter | Yes | 916.67 |
| TriaKube | Yes | 500 |
| engelo | Yes | 83.33 |
| 959599 | Yes | 15.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkey officially announces that it has suspended diplomatic relations with Israel by 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Turkish government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/turkey-suspends-diplomatic-relations-with-israel
| Alex29 | Yes | 15 |
| 9deF | Yes | 13.33 |
| Ch33t0s | Yes | 8.33 |
| Adventurous-Cosset | Yes | 5.88 |
| makemeloosemywater | Yes | 0.09 |
| powerofnow | Yes | 0.09 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page