Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 84.5% on 22 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2024 to 20 Aug 2024, the highest close was 99.7% on 20 Aug 2024 and the lowest 64% on 23 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 64% on 23 Jul 2024. $1.07M traded over the market's life.
74 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 5:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 22 Jul 2024 – 20 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2024 | 84.5% |
| 20 Aug 2024 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TriaKube | No | 23.77K |
| Repentant-Diamond | No | 14.98K |
| AA1 | No | 10.54K |
| Voluminous-Investigation | No | 10.31K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2024 Democratic National Convention is scheduled for August 19-22, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is a speaker at the Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Biden will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech in-person at the convention. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-speak-at-the-dnc
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| OMNI | No | 9.97K |
| jrb5187 | No | 2.39K |
| Hearty-Descent | No | 2.19K |
| Humming-Junket | No | 1.67K |
| emsosavvy | No | 1K |
| p0nzi | No | 865.83 |
