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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Sep 12, 2024 |
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| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.320 |
| $64 |
| Aug 29, 2024 |
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?Trump | sell | 555.62 | $0.240 | $133.47 | Aug 25, 2024 |
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?Trump | buy | 215.63 | $0.320 | $69 | Aug 25, 2024 |
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?Trump | buy | 101.13 | $0.290 | $29.33 | Aug 25, 2024 |
Biden removed via 25th Amendment?Yes | sell | 793.57 | $0.025 | $19.84 | Aug 22, 2024 |
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?Yes | sell | 91.66 | $0.840 | $76.99 | Aug 22, 2024 |
Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?Yes | sell | 94.28 | $0.910 | $85.79 | Aug 22, 2024 |
Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?Yes | buy | 94.29 | $0.350 | $33 | Aug 20, 2024 |
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?Yes | buy | 91.67 | $0.360 | $33 | Aug 20, 2024 |
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | sell | 444 | $0.007 | $3.11 | Aug 20, 2024 |
Will Biden speak at the DNC?No | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 25 | $0.180 | $4.5 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.460 | $102.12 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala be Nominee before Convention?No | sell | 158.33 | $0.080 | $12.67 | Jul 24, 2024 |
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 24, 2024 |
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.220 | $48.84 | Jul 24, 2024 |
Kamala president by Friday?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jul 23, 2024 |
Will Kamala be Nominee before Convention?No | buy | 158.33 | $0.120 | $19 | Jul 23, 2024 |
Biden dropout letter published without consent?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.019 | $5 | Jul 23, 2024 |
Kamala president by Friday?Yes | buy | 284.55 | $0.123 | $35 | Jul 23, 2024 |
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.026 | $2.6 | Jul 23, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.047 | $4.7 | Jul 23, 2024 |
Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.009 | $9.5 | Jul 23, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 25 | $0.470 | $11.75 | Jul 23, 2024 |
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 341.77 | $0.079 | $27 | Jul 22, 2024 |
Biden removed via 25th Amendment?Yes | buy | 793.57 | $0.140 | $111 | Jul 22, 2024 |
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | buy | 444 | $0.240 | $106.56 | Jul 22, 2024 |