Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.4% on 23 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 23 Jul 2024 to 27 Jul 2024, the highest close was 1.6% on 24 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Jul 2024. $291.09K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 28, 12:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 23 Jul 2024 – 27 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2024 | 1.4% |
| 27 Jul 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Riri852 | Yes | 5.11K |
| lel | Yes | 800 |
| Supple | Yes | 578.95 |
| Bareassmooning | Yes | 357 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence is made public confirming the Biden dropout letter was published to X/Twitter without the consent of President Joe Biden by July 26, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-resignation-letter-published-without-consent
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| emsosavvy | Yes | 263.16 |
| Worse-Excitement | Yes | 105.26 |
| Winner999 | Yes | 55.56 |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 0.05 |
| DumbMoney1 | Yes | 0.02 |
