Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 6 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 123 daily closes on record from 6 Jul 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 10% on 23 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 4 Nov 2024. $1.59M traded over the market's life.
79 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 4:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 123 points, 6 Jul 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2024 | 7.5% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| oiayrXv8e | Yes | 41.35K |
| uniqueplayername313 | Yes | 17.62K |
| Fractals | Yes | 11.2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Biden's removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Biden ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-removed-via-25th-amendment-before-election
| Yes |
| 10K |
| remilio7 | Yes | 8.38K |
| Voluminous-Homeownership | Yes | 6.72K |
| Stanos | Yes | 4.77K |
| deebbone | Yes | 1.65K |
| web3funny | Yes | 1.5K |
| Ethical-Competence | Yes | 1.15K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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