Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 346.25 | $0.038 | $13.16 | Mar 16, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 10K |
| $0.005 |
| $50 |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.009 | $45 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 755 | $0.009 | $6.8 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.005 | $0.2 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 24.46K | $0.002 | $48.92 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.022 | $84.7 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.32K | $0.006 | $49.91 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.14K | $0.007 | $99 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | sell | 400 | $0.814 | $325.4 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.007 | $14 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 400 | $0.057 | $22.8 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.2K | $0.025 | $155 | Aug 20, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 250 | $0.180 | $45 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | buy | 667 | $0.026 | $17.34 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.025 | $3.33 | Aug 20, 2024 |
 Will Biden speak at the DNC?No | buy | 800 | $0.026 | $20.8 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Biden speak at the DNC?No | buy | 94.59 | $0.037 | $3.5 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?Yes | buy | 2.41K | $0.017 | $40.99 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.011 | $55 | Aug 12, 2024 |