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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.140 | $140 | May 13, 2026 |
![]() |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.650 |
| $650 |
| Apr 16, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 2.3K | $0.974 | $2.24K | Mar 15, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.52K | $0.780 | $1.18K | Jan 23, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 950.13 | $0.975 | $926.38 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 318.97 | $0.960 | $306.36 | Dec 7, 2025 |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.956 | $191.2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 752.91 | $0.908 | $683.64 | Nov 4, 2025 |
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | sell | 209.82 | $0.970 | $203.6 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 444 | $0.975 | $432.9 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 221.99 | $0.979 | $217.33 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.909 | $45.45 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Zelensky resigns in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Oct 2, 2025 |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?No | sell | 221.99 | $0.952 | $211.42 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?No | sell | 440.99 | $0.999 | $440.55 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025?No | sell | 555 | $0.943 | $523.6 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 1.13K | $0.910 | $1.03K | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.975 | $1.06K | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?No | sell | 444 | $0.973 | $432.13 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?No | sell | 555 | $0.981 | $544.46 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?No | sell | 1.36K | $0.925 | $1.25K | Jul 3, 2025 |
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 1.33K | $0.690 | $919.76 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 123.44 | $0.977 | $120.6 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.992 | $220.22 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?No | sell | 221.99 | $0.993 | $220.44 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk buy a sports team before July?No | sell | 13.72 | $0.994 | $13.64 | Jun 29, 2025 |
X relaunches Vine before July?No | sell | 17.66 | $0.995 | $17.57 | Jun 29, 2025 |
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?No | sell | 222 | $0.995 | $220.89 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 333 | $0.996 | $331.67 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | sell | 1.11K | $0.998 | $1.11K | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | sell | 1.11K | $0.997 | $1.11K | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok?No | sell | 60 | $0.984 | $59.06 | May 31, 2025 |
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?No | buy | 21 | $0.060 | $1.26 | May 20, 2025 |
Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok?No | sell | 97.84 | $0.966 | $94.51 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.137 | $54.8 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May?Yes | buy | 510 | $0.084 | $42.73 | Apr 16, 2025 |
54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.999 | $499.5 | Apr 9, 2025 |
Fed rate cut by June meeting?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.740 | $1.19K | Apr 9, 2025 |
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Apr 6, 2025 |
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Apr 6, 2025 |
Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?No | sell | 34.99 | $0.020 | $0.7 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?No | sell | 300 | $0.020 | $6 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?No | sell | 300 | $0.020 | $6 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?Yes | buy | 653.72 | $0.970 | $634.11 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?No | sell | 3.05K | $0.830 | $2.53K | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will ETH hard fork before May?No | buy | 71.57 | $0.426 | $30.5 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will ETH hard fork before May?No | sell | 551.65 | $0.404 | $222.95 | Mar 27, 2025 |
Will ETH hard fork before May?No | sell | 200 | $0.317 | $63.35 | Mar 27, 2025 |
Will ETH hard fork before May?No | sell | 200 | $0.331 | $66.17 | Mar 27, 2025 |