Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 65%. Yes opened at 77% on 8 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2024 to 13 Aug 2024, the highest close was 77% on 8 Aug 2024 and the lowest 47.5% on 12 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 65% on 13 Aug 2024. $515.72K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 14, 3:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 8 Aug 2024 – 13 Aug 2024, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2024 | 77.0% |
| 13 Aug 2024 | 65.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Noonz | No | 100K |
| ANON11 | No | 16.92K |
| gman3 | No | 3K |
| LexFridman | No | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On Tuesday, Donald Trump said he will do "a major interview with Elon Musk" on the night of Monday, August 12. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his interview with Elon Musk currently scheduled for August 12. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no interview between Musk and Trump is publicly released by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrases regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the first publicly released footage of the interview, which includes substantial and continuous content.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-elon-interview
| SalamAleikum | No | 850.91 |
| DUMPF | No | 517.52 |
| Coarse-Barometer | No | 515.21 |
| alienmilady | No | 142.86 |
| gingdot33 | No | 77.55 |
| Mirza Kuchak Khan | No | 15.15 |
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