Latest trade
May 14, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 8:44 AM UTC.
Analytics
Frail-Walrus is down $1.74 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 46 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-06-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 14, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 8:44 AM UTC.
$4.35 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 45 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Feb 13, 2025 UTC to May 14, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Macron cocaine use confirmed?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.997 | $3.94 | May 14, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-06-05 03:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 08:44 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 08:44 UTC
polymarket positions
47 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-06-05 03:26 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $1 and losing ones cost $2.74 across 46 settled positions. 95.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.07 on “Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4?” (No); the largest loss, $1.49 on “NATO article 5 before March?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 14 May 2025. It has traded 46 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 5.8 |
| $0.997 |
| $5.78 |
| May 13, 2025 UTC |
 Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday?Yes | buy | 8.58 | $0.997 | $8.55 | May 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on May 9?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.998 | $6.97 | May 9, 2025 UTC |
 Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?No | buy | 7.72 | $0.996 | $7.69 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.982 | $3.96 | May 7, 2025 UTC |
 TikTok sale announced before May?No | buy | 4.33 | $0.999 | $4.33 | Apr 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.997 | $3.44 | Apr 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in his first 100 days?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.998 | $3.09 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
 FDA revokes polio vaccine in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 6 | $0.998 | $5.99 | Apr 28, 2025 UTC |
 X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 3.44 | $0.999 | $3.44 | Apr 26, 2025 UTC |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.997 | $6.74 | Apr 24, 2025 UTC |
 RFK's daughter-in-law picked as CIA deputy director?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.999 | $6.81 | Mar 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump sign 15-19 executive orders in March?No | buy | 5.7 | $0.999 | $5.69 | Mar 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 23?No | buy | 6.11 | $0.993 | $6.07 | Mar 24, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.999 | $6.51 | Mar 21, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 7.42 | $0.999 | $7.41 | Mar 21, 2025 UTC |
 Israel retaliates against Houthis by Friday?No | buy | 6.39 | $0.995 | $6.36 | Mar 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ontario resume electricity surcharge to the U.S. by next Friday?No | buy | 7.43 | $0.997 | $7.41 | Mar 19, 2025 UTC |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?Yes | buy | 5.6 | $0.998 | $5.59 | Mar 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will egg prices be less than $4.50 in February?No | buy | 3.74 | $0.999 | $3.74 | Mar 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump sign 10-14 executive orders in March?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.995 | $5.8 | Mar 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.989 | $2.61 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
 New Epstein names released by Friday?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.980 | $2.22 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Brad Garlinghouse attend the March 7 Crypto Summit?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.998 | $3.94 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on March 5?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.986 | $4.17 | Mar 5, 2025 UTC |
 Trump negative approval before March?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.999 | $7.5 | Mar 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.987 | $1.11 | Feb 24, 2025 UTC |
 NATO article 5 before March?No | sell | 501.5 | $0.994 | $498.5 | Feb 22, 2025 UTC |
| NATO article 5 before March?No | buy | 501.5 | $0.997 | $500 | Feb 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Aaron Rodgers leave the Jets?Yes | sell | 200.2 | $0.997 | $199.65 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Aaron Rodgers leave the Jets?Yes | buy | 200.2 | $0.999 | $200 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Aaron Rodgers leave the Jets?Yes | sell | 500.5 | $0.997 | $499 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Aaron Rodgers leave the Jets?Yes | buy | 500.6 | $0.999 | $500 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump remove tariff on China before March?No | buy | 2.49 | $0.989 | $2.46 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
 Ireland, Norway, or Spain accepts Gazan refugees in February?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.993 | $1.16 | Feb 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 19?Yes | buy | 2.43 | $0.990 | $2.41 | Feb 19, 2025 UTC |
 SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.997 | $1.83 | Feb 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 18?Yes | buy | 2.21 | $0.982 | $2.17 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 17?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.998 | $2.24 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.982 | $1.31 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.983 | $2.11 | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 16?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.987 | $3 | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
 Was Milei hacked?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.994 | $2.33 | Feb 15, 2025 UTC |
| Was Milei hacked?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.994 | $3.15 | Feb 15, 2025 UTC |
 DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.981 | $3.6 | Feb 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 14?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Feb 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will the House pass a budget resolution by Friday?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.999 | $7.36 | Feb 14, 2025 UTC |
 AfD banned before German election?No | buy | 3.93 | $0.996 | $3.91 | Feb 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.993 | $4.38 | Feb 13, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 107 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.