Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 3 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 9.9% on 5 Feb 2025 and the low 0.1% on 2 Mar 2025. $112.08K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 10:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 3 Feb 2025 – 2 Mar 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | 6.5% |
| 2 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 2K |
| Amarfa | Yes | 25.25 |
| ouioluiluiljk | Yes | 20.41 |
| ncode123 | Yes | 10 |
| NELF | No | 0.06 |
| MisTKy3VerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 0.02 |
| sportsgo | No | 0.02 |
| eletiongate | No | 0.01 |
| Vilgefortz | No | 0.01 |
| uliysanc | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 10% tariff on imports from China (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which removes the 10% general tariff on China by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which remove the general 10% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 10% without removing it will not qualify. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-remove-blanket-tariff-on-china-before-march
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