Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.6% on 24 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2025 to 23 Feb 2025, the highest close was 3.6% on 24 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Feb 2025. $236.67K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 24, 2:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 24 Jan 2025 – 23 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2025 | 3.6% |
| 23 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir333 | Yes | 1.25K |
| Lrnd | Yes | 1.11K |
| UsaMike | Yes | 999.55 |
| pepes27 | Yes | 444.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the political party Alternative for Germany (Alternative für Deutschland, AfD) is banned at the federal level in Germany by February 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Partial bans at the state level or restrictions short of a full federal ban will not count. If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/afd-banned-before-german-election
New to prediction markets?
| sergeycirov | Yes | 333.33 |
| almondtrader | Yes | 333.33 |
| excessiveReturns | Yes | 135.36 |
| Jiiinui | No | 1.01 |
| GollumGekko | No | 0.03 |
| ProphetOfProfit-243 | No | 0.03 |
