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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?Yes | buy | 18.24 | $0.490 | $8.94 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 127.59 |
| $0.070 |
| $8.93 |
| Mar 10, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?Yes | buy | 526.55 | $0.475 | $250.17 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?Yes | sell | 320.74 | $0.780 | $250.18 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.82 | $0.500 | $5.41 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | sell | 52.08 | $0.104 | $5.41 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?Yes | buy | 98.56 | $0.500 | $49.28 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.690 | $49.28 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?Yes | buy | 211.36 | $0.500 | $105.68 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 480.35 | $0.220 | $105.68 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.007 | $12.07 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Ukraine lowers conscription age before May 9?Yes | sell | 87.45 | $0.138 | $12.07 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 480.36 | $0.280 | $134.5 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will the AFD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.009 | $20 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 156.25 | $0.989 | $154.51 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 2.26K | $0.012 | $26.3 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | sell | 52.08 | $0.505 | $26.3 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?Yes | buy | 696.56 | $0.084 | $58.65 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Germany declare a state of emergency in February?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 AfD banned before German election?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 395.43 | $0.051 | $20 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.026 | $40 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.039 | $40 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 3.02K | $0.007 | $20 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Ukraine lowers conscription age before May 9?Yes | buy | 87.46 | $0.057 | $5 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut aid to Jordan or Egypt before March?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 200.35 | $0.018 | $3.61 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?Yes | buy | 461.54 | $0.130 | $60 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 744.98 | $0.134 | $100 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Putin go on Lex Fridman before March?Yes | buy | 146.17 | $0.034 | $5 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.480 | $50 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.320 | $7.27 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 645.16 | $0.031 | $20 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 285.93 | $0.070 | $20 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 620.51 | $0.032 | $20 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 787.76 | $0.127 | $100 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Ukraine lowers conscription age before May 9?Yes | sell | 155 | $0.050 | $7.75 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.629 | $815.02 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Ukraine lowers conscription age before May 9?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.100 | $15.5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 607.81 | $0.033 | $20 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 99.94 | $0.164 | $16.39 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 61.22 | $0.049 | $3 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.054 | $3 | Feb 3, 2025 |