Was Milei hacked?

geopoliticsResolved

No, settled Feb 17, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$8.7M

Resolved

Settled

Feb 17, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 17 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 15 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2025 to 17 Feb 2025, the highest close was 11.5% on 15 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 0.4% on 16 Feb 2025. $8.66M traded over the market's life.

127 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 18, 8:07 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 15 Feb 2025 – 17 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–15%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
illcappo	Yes	249.32K
antoniogil123.	Yes	141.37K
luchi	Yes	81.95K
KM1	Yes	76.57K

10 of 127 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On February 14, Javier Milei posted the following: https://x.com/JMilei/status/1890521742961156552 This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence is released that Javier Milei's X account @JMilei, was hacked, meaning that the recent tweet about $LIBRA was posted without his consent or authorization. This market will resolve to "No" otherwise. If no definitive evidence is released prior to Sunday, February 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve according to official statements from Javier Milei and a consensus of credible reporting. Note that actions such as the above posts being deleted will count as evidence toward Javier Milei being hacked, but will be considered in context of a consensus of credible reporting.